Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has logged 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's logged over the course of the season.
Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
With respect to threes, the Heat's remarkable 14.1 drained threes per game ranks 9th-best in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).
Nikola Jovic has made 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Nikola Jovic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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