Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has compiled 12.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
Nikola Jovic has played 27.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played over the course of the year.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 8th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.4% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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