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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's played in all games this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a favorable matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Nikola Jovic has made 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Nikola Jovic is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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