Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has sunk 61.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's made overall this year.
As it relates to drawing fouls, the Miami Heat's impressive 25.8 free throws per game with the home court advantage ranks 4th-best in the league this year.
Nikola Jovic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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