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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 10/28/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic lands in the 89th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 39.5% rate since the start of last season.

The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Heat.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jovic stands to see a rise in production for all stats in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 40.0% of his shots from the field when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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