Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 10/26/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Oct 26, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic slots into the 88th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an excellent 39.5% rate since the start of last season.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 8.7 shots made from the field per game (highest in the league) against the Hornets, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jovic slots into the 22nd percentile for free-throw performance with a weak 68.6% rate since the start of last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Nikola Jovic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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