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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted 62.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 17.6% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 24.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 30.4% more than he's made overall this season while on the road.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.

The most lethargic tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jovic will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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