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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted 58.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.

Nikola Jovic has tallied 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Heat.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games at home, 28.7% more than he's converted overall this season at home.

Nikola Jovic ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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