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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 62.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 14.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season when playing away from home.

In regard to three-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 31.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Miami Heat.

The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic stands to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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