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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 21.7% mark, Nikola Jovic's three-point performance has increased this year to 39.4%.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

With respect to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.2% rate of made threes on their home court ranks 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a positive matchup.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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