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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted an impressive 39.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.7 rate last year.

Nikola Jovic has tallied 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 34.7% more than he's made in all games this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic should suffer a reduction in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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