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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk a whopping 39.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a significant increase from his 21.7 mark last year.

Nikola Jovic has played 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this season.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Heat.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 40.6% higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a hard matchup.

The most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

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