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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made a whopping 40.3% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.7 rate last year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of converted threes on their home court measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a positive one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (40.8%).

Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 32.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while at home.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the 76ers are away from home (9th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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