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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted an impressive 40.1% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.7 mark last year.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.

The matchup against New York is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are on the road, opposing starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.7%).

Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season at home.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Knicks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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