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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has made 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 38.0% rate of drained threes while at home places 7th-highest in the league this year.

Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jovic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one; when the Cavaliers are on the road, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (13.5).

The clash with Evan Mobley comes in at the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting PFs making only 43.4% of their shot attempts from the field this year when they are on their home court.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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