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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 21.7% clip, Nikola Jovic's three-point effectiveness has increased this year to 40.5%.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 22.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.1% rate of converted threes as the home team comes in as the 3rd-most in the league this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 18.6 points per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive output.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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