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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk 50.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing away from home.

In terms of three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 41.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home comes in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 11 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing on the road.

The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (21st-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has been called for 1.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 0.9 fouls per game last season.

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 23rd-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (46.3%).

The least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic should experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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