Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has sunk 53.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's made from three overall this season.
The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's converted in all games this season while at home.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.0 free throws per game (25th-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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