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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 57.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's stellar 38.9% rate of made threes while playing at home settles in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Jazz, making this a good matchup.

The Jazz have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's converted overall this year playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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