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Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Nikola Jovic has converted 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.When it comes to three-point shots, the Heat's fantastic 37.4% rate of made threes ranks 10th-best in the league this year.This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 45.6% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the 76ers, labeling this as a good matchup.Nikola Jovic has successfully made 97.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 41.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing away from home.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last season's 0.9 mark, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have increased this season to 1.8.The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 20 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 12.7 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (retaining possessions that can result in further chances for offense).Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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