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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+100/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 39.5% of his three-pointers this year, ranking in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's excellent 38.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 49.9% on field goal attempts (21st-best in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, designating this as a positive matchup.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 32.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 0.9 mark, Nikola Jovic's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.2.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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