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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted 55.3% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 12.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season when playing on the road.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 4.9 3-point attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Raptors, designating this as a strong matchup.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Raptors may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA).

Nikola Jovic should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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