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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 21.7% mark, Nikola Jovic's 3-point performance has risen this season to 42.2%.

Nikola Jovic has tallied 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 27.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing on the road.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (21st-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic slots into the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have posted 14.6 points per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nets, making this a hard matchup for offensive production.

The matchup vs. Dorian Finney-Smith is a challenging one for shots from downtown; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have successfully made a mere 32.9% of their 3-pointers (25th percentile).

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

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