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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk a whopping 41.5% of his shots from downtown this year, a big improvement over his 21.7 mark last year.

Nikola Jovic has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 1.7 lower than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Miami Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.

The matchup against the Hornets is a strong one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (55.8%).

Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 41.7% more than he's made overall this season with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has played 6.0 minutes per game over the last 11 games while playing at home, 20.3 less than he's played over the course of the year at home.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Hornets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing away from home, the Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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