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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has made 52.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Miami Heat.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 75.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing at home.

As a team, the Heat have been very successful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games with 26.5 foul shot attempts per game.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has played 6.0 minutes per game over the last 11 games while on his home court, 15.0 less than he's played overall this season at home.

Nikola Jovic has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (79th percentile).

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have notched 11.0 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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