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Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-137).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -137.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Nikola Jovic has converted a terrific 45.0% of his treys this year, a significant increase from his 21.7 rate last year.With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.The Suns have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his free throws over the last 11 games on the road, 27.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the league, Nikola Jovic lands in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game on the road this year.This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 29.1% on threes (13th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup.The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).Nikola Jovic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.
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