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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the NBA (18th percentile).

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 24.0 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.

Nikola Jovic has made 87.5% of his foul shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against Utah is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.6 foul shots per game this year when the Utah Jazz have the home court advantage (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has made 37.4% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jovic measures in the 23rd percentile for playing time, registering just 13.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Jazz have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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