Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has played 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 38.3% on three-pointers (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a strong matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 21 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (30th-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lengthening possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).
Nikola Jovic is expected to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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