Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-142/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has converted 58.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
Nikola Jovic has tallied 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Heat.
The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
Nikola Jovic ought to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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