Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 4:47 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has made a terrific 39.4% of his three-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 21.7 rate last year.
Nikola Jovic has played 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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