Nikola Jovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-178/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has tallied 4.0 assists per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase plays for the Heat.

Favors Under

Nikola Jovic has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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