Nikola Jovic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2025

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Feb 4, 2025

Updated Feb 5, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has totaled 4.4 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.6 more than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road.
Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Favors Under

Nikola Jovic has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jovic will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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