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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Nikola Jovic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has totaled 5.0 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.3 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year at home.

Nikola Jovic has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

Nikola Jovic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year.

The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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