Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 1.2 steals per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch: 90th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

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