Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 1.2 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 91st percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
Nikola Jokic figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

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