Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 1.2 steals per game this year at home, putting him among the league's best by this standard in recent games: 90th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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