Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 6/7/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 7, 2023

Updated Jun 6, 2023 9:01 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 1.2 steals per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 93rd percentile.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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