Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 15, 2023 9:21 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 1.2 steals per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 93rd percentile.
Nikola Jokic has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.

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