Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.5 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.1 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (85th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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