Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-139/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 3.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 0.5 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.
The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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