Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 15.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has come down with 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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