Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 3:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 4.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.5 more than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Lakers have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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