Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 11:17 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 4.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's put up in all games this year.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Wizards have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic is expected to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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