Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 16, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.2 defensive boards per game away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).
The 4th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have nabbed 14.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the 76ers (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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