Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-163/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -163.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has compiled 9.0 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.1 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.
The Pelicans have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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