Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.1 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.7 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 3rdbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets (continuing possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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