Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted an impressive 3.5 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.7 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Nikola Jokic has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Nikola Jokic is expected to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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