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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged a terrific 3.9 offensive boards per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.9 offensive boards per game last season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

With the home court advantage, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.

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