Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:35 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled a whopping 3.4 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.7 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.8 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Phoenix Suns have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production across the board.

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