Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 41.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's tallied overall this year at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Nikola Jokic figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has compiled a lowly 9.6 defensive boards per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.9 defensive boards per game last year.
Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

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